Friday, February 5, 2016

Super Bowl Sunday



This Sunday, eyes worldwide will tune into CBS for the most unofficial holiday there is. The Super Bowl. The NFL’s golden Super Bowl has arrived with no shortage of storylines and anticipation. More people call into work the day after the Super Bowl than any other Monday of the year. Whether you tune in for the game, the halftime show, or just to watch the commercials, there is something for everyone to enjoy.
There is no doubt that these two teams earned their chance at taking home the Lombardi Trophy, here is how they got here:
Carolina Panthers
15-1, 1st in NFC South

                From start to finish of the 2015 season, the Carolina Panthers were one of the most complete teams, if not the most complete team, in the NFL. Many coaches in the past have tightened their grip the week of the Super Bowl, but not Ron Rivera. He let the players decide their nightly curfew, no coach comes around for bed check, the players check in with team security officials much like checking into a hotel. The players appreciate that kind of trust and it lets the team take responsibility for themselves. Rivera’s defense is hardnosed and nasty, keeping up with the offense in terms of making big plays. It should be no surprise that this team has landed itself in Super Bowl 50, with a good chance to fly the Lombardi Trophy cross the country back home to Charlotte. Ron Rivera isn’t given enough credit for the job he has done. His team reflects his style of coaching; keeping things loose, while still keeping an emphasis on getting the job done.
                Offensively the story starts and ends with one name, Cam Newton. The boy having fun playing a game has morphed into the man having fun playing a game. He guided this team to the highest scoring offense in the league. The hype that follows him is justified, Newton accounted for 79.6% of the total yards gained, and was responsible for a whopping 83.33% of the offensive touchdowns this season. As hard as it is to remember when looking at those stats, we have to remember this is a team game, and the men Cam is throwing and handing off too are equally as important. Newton’s favorite target is tight end Greg Olsen, who had another year of top tier production. One could make the argument that he is the best tight end in football. With Olsen commanding so much attention, the most underwhelming group on the team, the wide receivers, enjoyed a nice season. Ted Ginn Jr in particular had somewhat of a career renaissance, leading the team with 10 touchdowns. The group has a decent mix of talent with veteran leadership, which helped Newton flourish throughout the year. But the unsung hero of the team is running back Jonathan Stewart. Carolina took a gamble letting DeAngelo Williams walk in free agency, sticking with the oft injured Stewart. In doing so, they also elected to buck the trend of a running back by committee, which most of the league uses these days. The gamble paid off, Stewart only missed three games this season (2 as a precaution), falling just 11 yards short of cracking 1,000 rushing yards for the year. Because of the effectiveness of the run game, the offense was able to keep defenses on their toes and honest.
                The defense was equally as impressive, being led by their field general Luke Kuechly. Finishing the season as the 6th overall defense, this unit excelled all year. The defensive line is the key to the success this season, with Kony Ealy, Kawaan Short, Jared Allen, and Star Lotuleilei constantly getting pressure into the backfield. When the line performs at that level, Thomas Davis and Kuechly are free to roam from sideline to sideline in the middle of the field from the linebacker positions. They are both vastly underrated as cover linebackers, though this season more teams were exposed to Kuechly’s downfield coverage. The pressure line creates helps out the secondary the most, which is a good thingbecause if the defense has a weakness, the secondary is it. Josh Norman is still young, but has emerged as one of the league’s better cover corners, closing off half of the field. As the season went on, the rest of the secondary steadily improved. Safeties Roman Harper and Kurt Coleman really stepped up and provided some stability for whichever corner was starting opposite Josh Norman. Defensive coordinator Sean McDermott has a knack for getting the best out of his players. Ron Rivera was a member of the 1985 Monsters of the Midway defense in Chicago, his influence on McDermott and this defense is evident. They play their defense, with minimal adjustments, forcing the offense to adjust to what the defense is giving them.
Denver Broncos
12-4, 1st place AFC West
                2015 was different from the previous 4 years for the Denver Broncos. After all of us here in Denver were spoiled watching Peyton Manning and this offense carve up defenses in previous seasons, 2015 came in and gave us the pleasure of watching a defense dictate and control games. As a matter of fact, it’s the biggest reason this team earned a number one seed and is playing for their third Lombardi trophy.
                The heart and soul of the 2015 Denver Broncos is the #1 ranked defense in the NFL. All season this group has been a terror for teams to game plan for. All the success for this defense starts up front with DeMarcus Ware, Malik Jackson, Derek Wolfe, and Von Miller. The havoc these four cause is world beating good. For all the praise Cam has received this season, these four deserve an equal amount. Von and DeMarcus get all the press, but the dominance of Jackson and Wolfe on the inside is what drives this defense. With offenses having to account for their pressure, it allows at Ware or Miller to get one on one with a tackle on the outside, which is never a good situation for the offense. The AFC championship game was one of the most impressive games any of us have seen from a defensive line. Of course, that’s just a piece of the defense. Denver has an embarrassment of riches as far as talent goes at every other level of the defense as well. Linebackers Danny Trevathan and Brandon Marshall are the “weakness” of the defense, which is to say, they don’t really have a weakness. They were 1 -2 on the team as far as tackles go, but both have been seen spreading out wide to cover tight ends and running backs in passing situations; it doesn’t matter the situation, they play up to the talent around them.
Once you get passed that level, you are looking at the best secondary in football. Aqib Talib, Chris Harris Jr., Bradley Roby, T.J. Ward, and Darian Stewart have meshed so well this season, they even look alike when making a play on the ball. Darian Stewart replaced David Brouton (fractured fibula), and the defense didn’t miss a beat. Wade Philips has been a talented coordinator in this league for a long time, but for the first time, he has the exact players that fit every position in his scheme.
                Offensively the story all season has been quarterback play. Peyton Manning entered the year the unquestioned starter, starting the season 7-2 despite having one of the worst seasons of his career. Manning threw for 9 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, before finally revealing he had been playing with a torn plantar fascia in his left foot. Foot injury aside, Peyton didn’t look comfortable making pre-snap reads of the defense from under center, an adjustment he had to make with head coach Gary Kubiak preferring his offense to Peyton’s spread style. Peyton was sent to recover, which worked out for both parties. Manning was able to get some rest on the injury while studying the offense more, and the Broncos were able to get a good look at backup QB, Brock Osweiler. Osweiler went 5-2 during his time as the starter, he showed great promise, and could eventually take over this franchise.
The strength of this offense resides in its pass catchers. Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders are one of the top duos in the league, supported by a strong cast of talent behind them. Jordan Norwood, Andre Caldwell, Cody Latimer and Bennie Fowler all had catches and games that helped this team get to where they are. Throw in Owen Daniels, Virgil Green, and Vernon Davis at the tight end position, and this team has a bunch of offensive talent that is hard to account for.
                The questionable parts of the offense are the running backs and offensive line. This team lived and died based on the play of them this season. Both positions play better when Manning is calling the shots, which is mostly due to his knowledge and experience. There isn’t a defense he hasn’t seen, which allows him to make the correct protection, audible, and quick throw; which helps the line play better.
Super Bowl
Panthers
Cam Newton – Cam Newton – Cam Newton. Carolina has not seen a defense as good as the Broncos all season, they will rely on their MVP leader to have his best game of the season. Newton needs to be patient and be aware of where those defensive ends for Denver are on every play. A key matchup will be Panthers wide receiver Corey Brown lined up in the slot. Expect to see a lot of him. His speed can neutralize the defense, opening some underneath routes for Olsen to sit on. With that, they will need to run the ball well. If there is a way to beat this defense, it’s keeping them on the field. Continue to #KeepPounding and wear the defense out, by the fourth quarter they will get tired and you can open the offense up.
                On the defensive side, you have the 6th ranked defense in the league. They need to continue to do what they have done all season. The Panthers personnel is the exact profile that gave the Denver offense fits all season. Get pressure on Peyton Manning. Carolina’s secondary cannot keep up with Denver’s wide receivers, so the faster you can get to Manning, the lesser the chance he has to find the open target.
Broncos
                Much like Cam Newton never seeing a defense like Denver’s, Denver’s defense has never seen a talent like Cam Newton. He is bigger, stronger, and faster than every QB they faced this year. Don’t be surprised if Danny Trevathan is set up to spy Newton throughout the entire game. With dominate corners, Denver should be able to line up in man coverage, allowing the defensive line and safeties to focus on keeping Newton contained. The struggle is going to come from Greg Olsen. Rob Gronkowski lit this defense up in the AFC championship, but it was hardly an aberration, Denver struggled to cover tight ends all season. Chris Harris should get the call, letting Brandon Roby covering the number 2 receiver.
                 On offense Denver will need to run the ball effectively. One key to stopping Cam Newton is to keep Cam Newton off the field. In Carolina’s lone loss this season, they only controlled the ball for 24 minutes. Denver should do everything they can to score at least 28 points. Denver’s defense holds their opponents offense to 5 points less than the teams average points scored, which in this case that number would be 27. Peyton Manning is a tense guy, and he gets tighter when it comes to bigger games, but he seems to be much looser this time around. That’s a good sign for Denver fans. Manning will have had two weeks to prepare for Carolina’s vaunted defense, which is enough time for him to have found tape on Josh Norman in high school and find the negative tendencies in his coverage. One has to wonder if Kubiak will open up the offense a little bit, much like they did in week 8 against Green Bay. That would catch Carolina off guard and blow this game wide open.
X-Factor
Turnovers. These are two offenses going against two dominate defenses, this game is going to come down to whichever team can force turnovers and put their offense in good position to score some points. 
Prediction
Denver 26 Carolina 20

Cam Newton is going to win a lot of football games, but not this one. Defense wins championships, and Denver’s defense is not only built to win championships, they are the most capable defense to defend SuperCam.
                Folks, be safe, after this game Federal Boulevard is going to be wild with cruisers, downtown Denver is going to be a madhouse of gleeful drunks, and the airport is going to get packed with people waiting to welcome their champs back to town. Gross.